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EL ALAVÉS CON ABELARDO

El Alavés ha ganado más puntos en 4 jornadas con Abelardo que en las 13 anteriores. En esas 4 jornadas, el equipo también ha marcado solo un gol menos y ha dejado el mismo número de veces la portería a cero que en los primeros 13 partidos. Es notorio que el Deportivo Alavés se ha transformado durante el último mes de competición, pero vamos a analizar qué ha cambiado realmente en el equipo y cómo para detectar las claves de dicho cambio.

La generación ofensiva del equipo ha aumentado en volumen y calidad. Tras ser el equipo de menor generación ofensiva antes de la llegada de Abelardo, tiene números de producción en ataque de parte alta de la tabla en las 4 últimas jornadas.

El cambio en el volumen de generación es notable, pero es importante saber como se producen esos tiros. No siempre tiene relación tirar más con tener situaciones de tiro de mayor calidad.

El equipo está necesitando la mitad de tiros para marcar gol: 9.16 frente a 18.57. Además, la variación en la zona de los tiros es clave. De tirar solo un 47% de los tiros desde dentro del área a tirar un 67% en las últimas 4 jornadas. La selección de tiro está siendo mucho mejor, lo que se traduce en mejores situaciones y más facilidades para marcar, con la consecuente bajada de su ratio de tiros por gol.

En defensa, el equipo también ha conseguido alejarse de los números de los que venía. Le tiran 5 veces menos por partido y prácticamente la mitad que antes a puerta. Ha encajado 3 goles en cuatro partidos y ha dejado la puerta a cero en sus dos partidos como local.

 

El ratio de tiros por gol de los rivales, sin que antes fuera excesivamente malo, también ha mejorado notablemente. El Alavés no solo ha mejorado su selección de tiro propia, también ha empeorado la de sus rivales. En este tramo con Abelardo, el equipo ha pasado de recibir el 61% de tiros desde dentro del área, a un 45.9%. A sus rivales les está costando mucho generar situaciones de gol claras, lo que ha hecho que su ratio de tiros por gol encajado haya mejorado hasta ser de 12.33.

 

El estilo de juego del equipo ha variado notablemente. Está dando cerca de 35 pases más por 90´. Dichos pases además, están siendo en zonas de mayor peligro y con mejores porcentajes de acierto que anteriormente. El equipo está combinando menos que antes en los primeros 30 metros, pero más en centro del campo, y sobre todo, en últimos 30 metros. A esa zona, el Alavés está enviando más de 20 pases más por 90´, lo cual facilita que todos los números ofensivos vistos anteriormente sean mejores.

 

¿Por qué mejora el acierto del equipo en los pases a esa zona? Los mecanismos de salida de balón han cambiado y el juego largo está apareciendo mucho menos que antes. El equipo está jugando más en corto y eso se aprecia en el % de pases a últimos 30 metros que son desde campo propio. El porcentaje ha descendido desde el 37% anterior hasta el 25% de los últimos 4 partidos.

 

Todo lo anterior supone que las llegadas del equipo a los últimos 30 metros sean en mejor disposición y con más gente, produciendo ataques de mayor calidad. El equipo está generando más centros al área, y sobre todo con mayor precisión. En este tramo ha rematado el 29% de los centros. El dato probablemente vaya bajando cuando la muestra sea mayor, pero ese % de estas jornadas le haría ser el equipo con mejor ratio de remates de La Liga.

 

Los datos dejan claro que la mejora del Alavés a nivel de puntos no ha sido casualidad. Todos sus indicadores en estas 4 jornadas han sido de equipo de zona media-alta. La muestra de partidos dirá si son números relativamente sostenibles en el tiempo o no, lo que marcará la evolución del equipo en la segunda parte de la temporada.

 

Foto de Portada: La Liga Multimedia

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