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LOS PROBLEMAS DEFENSIVOS DE LA REAL SOCIEDAD

Hasta 14 equipos de La Liga han encajado menos goles que la Real Sociedad. Ha dejado su puerta a cero en sólo 2 de las 14 primeras jornadas. Todo esto no es casualidad, su sistema defensivo está teniendo puntos débiles demasiado importantes como para no traducirse en goles de manera constante. Lo analizamos desde la estadística.

Estadísticas defensivas clave en las que el equipo está entre los peores de La Liga:

  • Tiros rivales por gol encajado: 19º.
  • % de tiros a puerta parados por portero: 17º.
  • % de tiros a puerta rivales: 18º.
  • Centros recibidos por gol encajado: 18º.

 

Con ratios defensivos tan bajos es prácticamente imposible que el equipo funcione en ese apartado. Sólo Eibar y Málaga permiten mejor selección de tiro a sus rivales. Está entre los seis equipos que menos tiros reciben por 90 minutos de juego, pero las situaciones de finalización de los rivales son de tanta claridad y peligro que el dato pasa a ser prácticamente irrelevante.

Se detectan varios aspectos en los que los rivales obtienen ventajas con demasiada facilidad. Uno de ellos son los centros al área. La Real está encajando un gol cada 24 centros del rival. Analizamos con varios ejemplos, su defensa en centros laterales a continuación.

Como se observa, son habituales las situaciones de mucho riesgo defensivo. No hay ayudas ni superioridades y la defensa queda expuesta a duelos de 1 vs 1. En casos como los de Balaídos o Riazor, los laterales pierden esa disputa y el delantero rival marca tras la prolongación. La Real está teniendo un déficit muy importante en estas acciones que le han supuesto ya 9 goles encajados en centros en 14 jornadas.

El que es probablemente el mayor hándicap defensivo actualmente de la Real es la selección y la situación de los tiros que permite a sus rivales. Es el tercer equipo de La Liga contra el que sus rivales generan mayor calidad de tiros. Esta situación se ve reflejada de manera muy clara en dos ratios: el % de paradas de Rulli y el % de tiros a puerta de sus rivales.

Prácticamente un 43% de los tiros del rival van a puerta. Para poder tener un sistema defensivo consistente, este número debe descender notablemente hasta rondar un valor cercano al 36/37%. Como se ve en el gráfico, está muy lejos ya no de ratios de élite, sino de la zona media de La Liga.

Esa calidad tan alta de la selección de tiros de sus rivales se explica en gran parte en base a dos situaciones del juego en las que la Real está sufriendo mucho. La primera de ellas es en defensa posicional. Cuando los rivales llegan a posicionarse en campo contrario, la defensa de la Real está permitiendo situaciones que le penalizan demasiado. Una de ellas, es el tiempo que tiene en muchas ocasiones el poseedor del balón, lo que unido a los espacios que suelen aparecer entre la defensa genera situaciones de pases de finalización muy claros y de mucho peligro para el rival.

Las tres situaciones de las imágenes anteriores acabaron en gol. Jugadas diferentes entre sí, pero con aspectos muy similares. Los 3 jugadores en posesión de balón están en el último tercio con rivales cerca pero sin ser presionados, pudiendo levantar la cabeza y dar un pase clave. A ello se le suma, que en todos los casos hay pases relativamente claros para generar situaciones de mucho peligro. Es muy habitual no ver cerrados los espacios entre laterales y centrales dando demasiadas opciones al rival.

Pero además de en defensa posicional, la Real está sufriendo mucho en situaciones de transición defensiva. Es el tercer equipo que más combina de La Liga e inevitablemente esto conlleva errores en zonas de peligro. Se pueden minimizar pero no evitar. A partir de ahí, el equipo no está teniendo mecanismos tras pérdida que eviten situaciones claras. Todo esto le lleva a tener uno de los peores ratios de tiros por gol encajado de La Liga. Lógicamente, este ratio será mejor cuanto peor sea la selección de tiro rival. El equipo necesita llevar el ratio de 6.00 tiros por gol hacia algo cerca de los  7.5/8.0 Tiros por gol encajado, si no será muy difícil que su sistema defensivo funcione de manera consistente.

Un caso muy evidente de transiciones defensivas deficientes son los dos goles encajados en los últimos minutos tras balón parado a favor. Tanto en Getafe como contra el Betis en Anoeta el equipo encajó goles así. También encajó goles tras pérdidas con errores graves en salida de balón como el 0-1 del Valencia o el 2-3 del Betis, ambos en Anoeta. El primer caso tiene soluciones más fáciles que el segundo. Es más sencillo mejorar colocación tras córneres a favor que tras pérdidas inesperadas con el equipo descolocado en salida de balón, pero será vital que para ambas situaciones el equipo consiga encontrar soluciones efectivas.

Las 3 situaciones tras pérdida son diferentes pero vuelven a tener mucho en común. El primer caso es una pérdida en campo rival, el segundo caso es el gol del Getafe tras saque rápido del portero en córner en contra, y el tercero es tras una pérdida de Raúl Navas en salida de balón. En ninguno de los 3 casos hay presión al poseedor del balón, no hay opción ni siquiera a una falta que pueda interrumpir la jugada. Si a eso se le une una defensa descolocada por un ataque rápido del rival tras pérdida, aparecen situaciones de pase y espacios demasiado grandes para que con poca dificultad le puedan generar prácticamente una situación de 1 vs 1 delante de Rulli.

La generación a nivel ofensivo le está permitiendo a la Real seguir cerca de Europa, pero a corto plazo necesitará de mejoras en su sistema defensivo para que su habitual dominio se transforme en resultados de manera consistente.

 

Foto de portada: La Liga Multimedia

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