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RENDIMIENTO DE EQUIPOS LIGA 1|2|3

Analizamos los indicadores más importantes de la 2ª división. Profundizamos con un contenido especial y diferente al habitual, para estudiar las razones que explican como está rindiendo cada equipo en la categoría de plata.

¿Qué equipos están siendo los más efectivos? En 2ª no hay diferencias tan grandes como en 1ª en lo que a efectividad se refiere. Ningún equipo por debajo de 5.5 ni por encima de 11.00 en el ratio de tiros por gol. Tres de los cuatro equipos más goleadores de la categoría tienen los mejores ratios de tiros por gol, Valladolid, Oviedo y Granada. Sin embargo, equipos como Huesca, Lugo o Cádiz no se encuentran ni siquiera entre los 8 primeros siendo los mejores clasificados. Analizaremos las razones de este punto más adelante.

A nivel de generación ofensiva, ¿Qué equipos finalizan más jugadas y con qué precisión lo hacen? En el siguiente gráfico se muestran los tiros promedio que intentan los equipos por 90 minutos de juego en relación al % de ellos que van entre los tres palos. 

Equipos entre los más goleadores como Tenerife, Valladolid, Rayo, Huesca o Granada están presentes con los mejores números de la tabla, lo que va acorde a sus ratios de goles anotados. Por contra, destaca el Sporting. Su bajada en la clasificación de las últimas semanas no es casual, ya que desde inicios de la liga presenta ratios muy bajos, como su +/- tiros por 90´, entre los tres peores equipos, lo que tarde o temprano se tenía que traducir si no cambiaba de forma radical, en un impacto negativo en la clasificación. Nuevamente el Cádiz aparece entre los equipos que menos generan ofensivamente, pero su puesto en la tabla no se justifica desde este apartado, sino desde el defensivo analizado a continuación.

En 2ª división se acentúa de manera mucho mayor la importancia de los sistemas defensivos frente a 1ª. Es muy difícil que aparezcan en buenos números defensivos equipos que no estén rindiendo bien a nivel de clasificación. En primer lugar, se muestra la generación de tiros a puerta por 90´ permitida a rivales.

Los tiros a puerta que recibe cada equipo deja muchos puntos claros. El Cádiz, que es el equipo que menos tiros permite a sus rivales entre palos, es el equipo menos goleado. Lugo y Huesca, entre los 5 mejores, primero y segundo de la tabla. Osasuna, siendo tercero, tiene números defensivos entre los mejores de la liga. El hecho de que no esté más arriba, se explicaba anteriormente desde su apartado ofensivo. El Oviedo, buenos números ofensivos y defensivos en lo que a generación permitida se refiere está 7º. A continuación veremos cual es el principal hándicap que le penaliza para no estar más arriba. Por contra, como veíamos antes, vuelve a aparecer Sporting entre los peores números, con equipos entre los más goleados como Córdoba o Nàstic.

El otro parámetro defensivo clave a analizar es el % de paradas de los porteros de cada equipo. Se puede permitir poca generación a los rivales, pero si con eso les es suficiente para marcar, el sistema defensivo seguirá sin ser eficiente. Al relacionar la tabla de paradas con la anterior no queda duda sobre la relación directa con los ratios defensivos de cada equipo.

Aparece una relación directa entre gráficas defensivas:

  • Cádiz, Huesca, Osasuna y Lugo: Entre los mejores tanto en generación permitida como en % de paradas. Son los 4 equipos menos goleados.
  • Reus, Sporting, Granada y Numancia: A nivel de porteros, entre los mejores ratios, pero con mucha generación permitida a rivales, entre el 5º y 8º equipos con menos goles en contra.
  • Tenerife, Rayo y Oviedo: Están entre la primera mitad en generación permitida a rivales, y en la segunda mitad en % de paradas de porteros. Zona media de goles encajados. El caso del Oviedo es llamativo, segundo equipo que menos generación permite y el último en % de paradas, lo que explica porque con buenos datos defensivos ha encajado 22 goles y no está mejor clasificado.
  • Zaragoza, Barça B, Almería y Nástic: Similar al caso anterior, zona media-alta a nivel de portería, pero los cuatro entre los siete que más tiros a puerta reciben. Complicado tener buenos números defensivos permitiendo tanta generación al rival.
  • Alcorcón, Lorca, Sevilla At. y Albacete: Nuevamente un grupo con ratios muy parecidos. Los cuatro entre el 6º y el 11º en tiros a puerta recibidos, pero entre el 15º y el 18º en % de paradas de sus porteros. No estar a nivel de élite en tiros recibidos pero entre los peores en portería, se traduce en un número alto de goles encajados.
  • Cultural, Valladolid y Córdoba: No es casualidad que los tres equipos que más goles encajan de la categoría estén entre los peores en las dos categorías defensivas analizadas.

 

Observado el rendimiento tanto ofensivo como defensivo de cada equipo, en el próximo gráfico se analiza el estilo de juego que presenta cada equipo. Para ello se analiza el nivel de combinación, en número promedio de pases que realiza cada equipo por 90´ de juego. En relación a ello, se indica el % del total de pases del equipo que son pases largos. La relación directa habitual entre pases cortos es igual a equipos que más combinan está claramente presente.


 

Como se ha visto, en la segunda división es mucho más directa la relación entre sistema defensivo y clasificación en la tabla. Hay diferencias claras con La Liga, donde sí que hay sistemas ofensivos que permiten a sus equipos estar bien clasificados con sistemas defensivos de nivel medio-bajo. Se demuestra que esto en 2ª es muy improbable que ocurra. Prácticamente desde los ratios defensivos se puede explicar la clasificación completa. ¿Qué equipos creéis que están más lejos de su potencial o qué con los números que tienen deben tener una tendencia positiva a corto plazo? Os leemos y analizamos.

 

Foto portada: LaLiga Multimedia

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